Charleston Classic Preview

Charleston Classic Preview

The Bears travel to Charleston, South Carolina for an 8 team tournament over the next four days. The Bears will play three games over the trip. Let's take a look at the possible opponents on their side of the bracket for the first two games.

Baylor opens up the Charleston Classic as one of the favorites to win it, but nothing is a given in college basketball. They open with Boston College on Thursday, and will play either Dayton or Colorado on Friday, pending the results of the two games. To prepare for this tournament, let's get to know the three teams we could play in the first two rounds.

Boston College:

Sagarin – 168th

KenPom – 154th

Massey – 158th

The Bears first opponent will be the Eagles of Boston College, who are 1-0 on the year after a 84-70 win over Florida International. In that game, Ryan Anderson dominated, scoring 29 points and grabbing 17 rebounds. The 6-8 sophomore led the Eagles in scoring and rebounding last year and is their key player. Last year was a struggle for BC, as they went just 9-22 including a 4-12 mark in the ACC. This year is expected to be another struggle for 3rd year coach Steve Donahue as the Eagles were picked to finished last in the Preseason ACC poll.

The main issue for the Eagles was scoring last year, as KenPom ranked them 293rd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (out of 345 schools).

Boston College Four Factors (2011-2012)

Category

Offense

Defense

D-I Avg

Effective FG%:

48.1 (201)

49.5 (196)

49

Turnover %:

22.4 (285)

18.1 (285)

20.2

Off. Reb. %:

22.3 343

32.8 (205)

32.1

FTA/FGA:

33.7 (244)

28.4 (23)

36.4

They were a terrible rebounding team on the offensive glass, turned it over too much and didn't shoot very well. This was a BAD offense last year. This year, they are going to lean heavily again on Anderson and the rest of an incredibly young rotation. Their starting lineup includes 3 sophomores and 2 freshman, with both starting guards being the freshman. Both Oliver Hanlan and Joe Rahon were 3-star point guards and will be playing their 2nd college game against one of the best backcourts in the country.

The Eagles have decent size in the post with Anderson at 6-8 and Clifford at 7-0, along with backup Andrew Van Nest at 6-11. However, their skill level is lacking outside of Anderson and the Bears should be able to pressure their young guards, and win the inside battle against Anderson.

Dayton:

Sagarin - 82nd

KenPom – 98th

Massey – 63rd

The Flyers of Dayton also come into Charleston at 1-0 with a win over Arkansas State. They are a much more seasoned team than Boston College, with 2 seniors being their best players, along with a junior center. Possibly their best player is a junior new to the Dayton program, Vee Sanford who transferred in from Georgetown. The 6-3 guard is a scoring guard with excellent ball handling skills and a smooth game. He likes to penetrate and pull off an array of floaters over the post defenders.

Alongside Sanford is senior Kevin Dillard, their returning top scorer. Dillard averaged 13.3 points per game, while also leading the team in assists with 6.0 per game. He is a very fast player with the ball who is better at getting into the lane and making things happen versus shooting from outside. He is inconsistent at best with his outside shot. He is very good at getting into the paint and finding open shooters as well. Dillard has a very high assist rate and if he can improve his jump shot, he could be a great player.

Dayton Four Factors 2011-2012

Category

Offense

Defense

D-I Avg

Effective FG%:

50.7 (101)

50.1 (222)

49

Turnover %:

19.7 (142)

19.5 (204)

20.2

Off. Reb. %:

36.0 (38)

30.7 (112)

32.1

FTA/FGA:

33.5 (247)

37.3 (202)

36.4

Last year, the Flyers lost to Iowa in the first round of the NIT. They were a bubble team for the NCAA tournament late, until a loss to Xavier in the 2nd round of the Atlantic 10 tournament pushed them down the NIT. They were a very good offensive team last year, ranked 28th by KenPom in offensive efficiency, but struggled at times with defense. The Flyers start three guys over 6'7" to go along with their two dynamic guards. With that size on the inside, they crash the boards very well and are a good offensive rebounding team.

Colorado:

Sagarin – 71st

KenPom – 57th

Massey – 56th

A familiar site for Bear fans, the former conference rival as well as a team the Bears defeated in last year's run to the Elite Eight, Colorado looks to build on a tremendous finish to last year, after winning the Pac-12 conference tournament before losing to Baylor in the second round. They are also 1-0 on the season with an opening win over Wofford College, 74-59.

Colorado is once again led by Andrew Roberson, the 6-7 do it all junior forward. Robinson is an adaptable player who will win most matchups due to his ability to do everything well. He is what some would call a kitchen sink player. He brings everything AND the kitchen sink. Roberson does specialize in one thing though, rebounding. He is an exceptional defensive rebounder, actually ranking 2nd last year in Defensive rebounding percentage.

Their best scorer is Askia Booker, a 6-1 spark plug for them last year that is now being asked to take a bigger role as a sophomore. Booker is a high volume shooter who can get hot and take over a game. He had 13 points on 6-13 shooting in the Wofford game.

The Buffaloes though really don't rely on just one player to score for them. They have a multitude of options that work well in Coach Thad Boyle's offensive system. They play a very regulated and slow paced style that really works for the best shot possible. Along with Booker and Roberson, the Bears will have to keep an eye on Spencer Dinwiddie and freshman newcomer Josh Scott. Dinwiddie is their best 3-point shooter. Scott is a 6-10 post player that is starting at the center position for the Buffaloes.

Colorado Four Factors 2011-2012

Category

Offense

Defense

D-I Avg

Effective FG%:

49.5 (153)

46.9 (75)

49

Turnover %:

19.5 (133)

18.4 (264)

20.2

Off. Reb. %:

29.2 (265)

28.8 (50)

32.1

FTA/FGA:

43.2 (26)

32.0 (70)

36.4

Last year's Colorado team was a good defensive team with a slow and steady offense. They don't force a lot of turnovers, but they don't allow very many offensive rebounds ether, thus limiting opponent's possessions. They play a standard man defense and have good length with Roberson at 6-7, Dinwiddie at 6-6, along with sabatino chen at 6-4.

Summary:

Baylor should have an easy matchup and win against Boston College before taking on either Dayton or Colorado. Both of those teams are a much stiffer test than what the Eagles will present. I expect Colorado will be able to slow Dayton down enough to win that one, creating a matchup of former Big 12 foes.

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